The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
00:26:23 · Fareed Zakaria
We trade that for America. And there there were many people in India advocating that. But the Trump administration's attitude has completely changed the way India... Indians at the elite level look at look at America. In general, Indians are still wildly pro American, but at the elite level, it's changed. So this gets to the to the the question you're asking. I think we have set in place motion... You know, kind of series of motions that people are going to buy insurance. So I think we can get a bunch of it back. I think we can we can we can stabilize the system again, but we can't go back to the way it was. Because once you sow that level of mistrust, that doubt, that sense that we need a bit of insurance, it's hard to see how get... We did the impossible. You know, for fifty years, the second and third richest countries in the world, Germany and Japan, said, we don't need to have, you know, major defenses. You take care of us. We are basically subcontracting our national security policy to you, the number one country. The idea that the number two and number three economies in the world would subcontract their foreign policy to the number one country, again, historically never happened in the world. And it was it was American genius, and it has now been American stupidity and recklessness that has wrecked that system.
00:27:53 · Scott Galloway, Fareed Zakaria
[00:27:53] S3: Yeah, I would argue that the most enduring damage it will take, not administrations, but generations to repair. And I look at everything through the lens of the metaphor of corporate governance and shareholders. That is, if you're a shareholder trying to acquire a company, buying 33% of the company, you're willing to pay X. But if you can get 51%, you're willing to pay two X cause it gives you sort of control, if you will. And The US arguably with with our allies who depended upon our navy, settled their trades and dollars, largely based their legal systems on ours, felt that if quote unquote shit got real, they could count on us. That was 60 or 70% of the world's GDP vis a vis democracies in Asia and Europe. We had a controlling interest in the world economy, militarily, politically. And now we've decided to go down to 33. We've essentially said to these partners, you can't trust us. Sure, we'll work together, but you can trust us. It just strikes me as you would never, as a shareholder, willingly go from a majority to a minority position. It just absolutely makes no sense. And when [00:29:04] S4: my question- was totally affordable for us. It was it was the equivalent of what these founders do when they issue A shares to continue your, right? You only have to own 20% of the company, but you can have 60% of the voting rights. That that was the arrangement we had with the international system.
00:29:04 · Fareed Zakaria, Scott Galloway
[00:29:04] S4: my question- was totally affordable for us. It was it was the equivalent of what these founders do when they issue A shares to continue your, right? You only have to own 20% of the company, but you can have 60% of the voting rights. That that was the arrangement we had with the international system. [00:29:23] S3: So assuming that's a bad idea and we wanna I'm going to Toronto today. I'm basically saying, look, the majority of Americans think of you as family. And I would understand that you think of us as the brother who's become a meth addict. Give us some time. Hopefully we're coming back into the fold. A place like India. To me, it strikes deploy just the entire diplomatic corps. This is the opportunity, right? To not end up with an adversary like China, but to end up with an ally like China, specifically India. It just makes so much sense. What can not only the next administration do? Say you were asked, and I would imagine this is a decent chance to be vetted for secretary of state. What would your advice, not only to the next president be, but once, if in fact there is a blue tsunami and Democrats take the House and the Senate, what would be your advice to starting that long road back, if you will?
00:30:26 · Fareed Zakaria
[00:30:26] S4: I think it'll require more than words. It'll require action. You know, you'll have to commit to certain longer term policies where The United States is willing to return and to and to kind of join with these countries in in various ways, you know. So with Canada, you've you've got to once and for all sort out this trade thing and say, look, We basically have a great deal here. We have an integrated North Atlantic economy, and we're going to move forward. We're gonna lock it in in some way, you know, whether it's a long fifteen year trade agreement. And the most important thing would be to work with Republicans who, hopefully, once the Trump spell is broken, who agree with you. I mean, the... NAFTA was a Republican idea. It was George Bush senior's idea. It passed with a majority of Republican votes, not Democratic votes. It was Bill Clinton plus the Republicans in the house who... And senate who passed NAFTA. Similarly with India, I think you'll have to you'll have to think about some long term economic technological partnerships, which, by the way, as you you point out, would be incredibly beneficial and win win. Take one example. So The US has been trying to wean itself off the mass excessive dependence on China for a variety of things, and one of them was Apple. The idea was Apple was producing too much of its production in China. And so the the Americans went to to India and said, can you can you help produce the iPhone? And they hooked up with Tata's, which is one of the best companies in India. Three years ago, zero iPhones were made in in in India. Today, every new iPhone in America is made in India. 25% of all smartphones are made in India. This is essentially from almost a zero standing stock.
00:32:21 · Scott Galloway, Fareed Zakaria
[00:32:21] S3: Every new iPhone is made in India? [00:32:23] S4: Every new iPhone that sells in America. [00:32:26] S3: The new models. [00:32:27] S4: The new models, exactly. [00:32:29] S3: I did not know that. [00:32:30] S4: And this is in three years. And the reason is only India has the scale that you could, you know, that can offset China. If you really want to de risk yourself from an excessive reliance on China, whether it's with railroads, whether it's with, you know, ilium, whatever it is you're looking for, this... You're gonna have to do it in a... With many other countries, you know, Mexico, Vietnam, Malaysia. But India has the scale that allows you to do stuff like I just described. Nobody else could have, you know, gotten to the point where 25% of all smartphones sold in The United States are now made in India in three years. Right? Because it's 1,400,000,000 people and a large number of technically trained people. So... But you need to do things like that. You know, we have this deal with the Australians, AUKUS, to get... To sell them three submarines. They are all convinced that Trump is essentially delaying that process and that they'll never get their submarines. So they'll have pissed off the Chinese and gotten nothing for it in return. We've gotta make good on our our commitments there. You know? So I think a lot of places in the world would be amenable to this idea that America has returned, but it will take actions, not words.
00:33:48 · Scott Galloway
[00:33:48] S3: We'll be right back. We're back with more from Fareed Zakaria. So let's brainstorm around what's something that would show real metal. I think the economic agreements and tariffs take months, if not years, to construct. And quite frankly, aren't that sexy or exciting. They're really important, but a new agreement on auto parts between Canada and The US that restores us to where it was before or NAFTA three. Yeah, it's important, but from a retail standpoint, it doesn't get people excited or send much of a message around the world. What would? What if the Democrat's in office, what if they immediately passed a resolution saying, if Europe is spending, supporting Ukraine to the tune of $120,000,000,000 a year, I don't know the number, we're in for 200. We're gonna give them our latest technology. We are going to ask Europe to even step up more as we are in a profound way, and we will not stop. We have the largest balance sheet in the history of the world. We have the most sophisticated weaponry. We have the best intelligence service. We are gonna we are gonna rally all of that until Putin leaves Ukraine. And let Trump veto it. Let him explain why he is not supporting an ally. But start to set the table. To me, there's fewer rallying points that would show America is is back, if you will, with all caps? Your thoughts.