All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
01:19:43 · Jason Calacanis
[01:19:43] S0: And J. Cal, any view that's different than where we've been in the past? I think polymarket is gonna get it right. I think Democrats are gonna win the senate, 68% chance right now on polymarket. I believe that. And house, obviously, everybody believes that, 92% chance. So when that happens, and and the reason I'll back that up is if you look at the the net approval rating of Trump, all time low. The country is very upset, and the Libs are gonna come out in force to vote anti Trump. The the the moderates are either not gonna show up and they're not gonna be Trump curious like they were for the second term and, you know, Al Kamala was such a disastrous candidate. They were like, okay. I gotta try something else here. And and they went for Trump reasonably. If you were gonna have a choice between Kamala and Trump, I think Trump's the better choice for most Americans. And then you have the fractured Republican Party where the American first people feel really like they got rug pulled by Trump because of the economy. Inflation didn't get solved. The wars didn't get solved, and he started another war. So that group's kinda pissed off. So when you put all that together, I think it's a very easy sweep for the Democrats. Then I think, you know, if we wanna look at what the next two cards are, if you look at impeachment, you know, that that process from what I understand is a house and then senate, and it's a a legal proceeding. I think we're gonna go right back to Trump being impeached, and then both houses are gonna do that. It's gonna be absolute chaos. And then the Dems are gonna start putting legislation out there and force the Republicans to vote against it in order to scuttle JD Vance's chances. So this is obviously gonna be a chaotic two years. You're... You and I... You Let me finish. On. So let me finish before... So what's gonna happen is it's be a chaotic two years, And I think what will come out of that ultimately is we're gonna need some new candidates on the Republican side, and they're gonna put the the the Trump... They're gonna put the the Trump era to bed. And then I think that means they put JD Vance and Marco Rubio to bed, and they're gonna need a new champion that is more populist and actually executes on the populist agenda, which they feel Trump represented but didn't execute on. That's my...
01:22:00 · Jason Calacanis, Chamath Palihapitiya, David Sacks
And and that's not my personal belief, that's just my analysis. Go ahead, Chamath. [01:22:05] S2: No. I I think what I'm saying is you think there's gonna be a Democrat FUD campaign. They could control the house, they'll just subpoena everybody. [01:22:11] S0: They're going to subpoena everybody. They're gonna look into every single accusation of grift they can think of and ones that are valid, ones that are not valid, everybody in between. And so... Yeah. And and then I... You know, I'm... We have a really good group, by the way, coming. So join us for the all in midterm livestream, eight to 10PM YouTube x and Polymarket. Shane Copeland, Tim Dillon, Rahm Emanuel, Tela Lorenz. It's gonna be chaotic [01:22:36] S1: and Lorenz. She's on a redemption arc, [01:22:39] S0: I have to Lorenz. [01:22:42] S1: She's she's actually been great on certain topics lately. [01:22:45] S2: What is [01:22:45] S1: going on? I have to say. [01:22:49] S0: Wow. Base Lorenz coming on the pod. [01:22:52] S1: Love it. [01:22:53] S0: It's gonna be it's gonna [01:22:54] S1: be a fun time. [01:22:55] S0: I love Tim Dillon. He's coming on. [01:22:56] S1: I'm not gonna be there. [01:22:58] S2: What? Where [01:22:59] S1: are you gonna be? What what do I need to do a a midterm livestream for? [01:23:04] S0: Because you're you're gonna lose... Your party's gonna lose so you're not coming. [01:23:08] S1: If we outperform, I'll pop in and spike the football. I'm not That's not cool.
01:23:08 · David Sacks, Jason Calacanis
[01:23:08] S1: If we outperform, I'll pop in and spike the football. I'm not That's not cool. [01:23:14] S0: Everybody wants to hear you. Come on. We can we can drink we can drink some tequila. We'll have fun with this, Sacks. Come on. You you can't cry. We should coffee and crying in tequila. Chamath, maybe maybe we should get together at Tomas' house and drink and do it live. [01:23:26] S1: I agree with a lot of your analysis about what will happen if the Democrats win JCAL because they have not changed their stripes. Okay? People are just forgetting who the Democrats are and what they were like during COVID, all the lawfare that they perpetrated, all the crazy woke stuff. It's all there ready to come back. They have not really analyzed why they lost in 2024. They have not really changed or adjusted anything. If anything, they've become more extreme. Right? The DSA is ascendant in their party as even Gavin Newsom acknowledged. So I think that if the Democrats do take Congress, you're likely to see how nutty they are and the American public will be reminded of that and that will be really interesting to to see. So, you know, but that's why there's a pendulum in politics. Right?
01:23:26 · David Sacks, Jason Calacanis, Chamath Palihapitiya
[01:23:26] S1: I agree with a lot of your analysis about what will happen if the Democrats win JCAL because they have not changed their stripes. Okay? People are just forgetting who the Democrats are and what they were like during COVID, all the lawfare that they perpetrated, all the crazy woke stuff. It's all there ready to come back. They have not really analyzed why they lost in 2024. They have not really changed or adjusted anything. If anything, they've become more extreme. Right? The DSA is ascendant in their party as even Gavin Newsom acknowledged. So I think that if the Democrats do take Congress, you're likely to see how nutty they are and the American public will be reminded of that and that will be really interesting to to see. So, you know, but that's why there's a pendulum in politics. Right? [01:24:17] S0: There is a pendulum. I think we need a... Yeah. I mean, I... I'm wondering who the champions are. If it's not JD and Rubio, I wonder who the champion on the right will be. I think it's gonna be somebody we can't even name right now is gonna emerge. I think the same thing on the left. Anyway, it's gonna be exciting. We're gonna get Sacks to show up, and we'll see you all next Thursday night for our livestream. Love you, besties. Bye. [01:24:45] S2: Bye bye. [01:24:48] S0: We'll let your winners ride. Rain man David Sacks. I'm going home. And it said We open source [01:25:12] S2: We should all just get a room and just have one big huge orgy because they're all just useless. It's like this, like, sexual tension that they just need to release somehow.