00:23:21 · Mike Isaac, Max Read
[00:23:21] S4: I thought it was, like, way front loaded with rosier sort of paintings of AI at the top compared to the past. You know? Like, I I... You guys tell me, but I feel like Dario Amodei is painted as, like, the the biggest, like, doom and gloom guy of AI in the valley. And my perception was everyone around him was like, hey. You need to, like, pump the brakes on this a little bit, especially as we're getting the average person or trying to get the average person excited about it. So, like, the whole top was like, hey. By the way, we do wanna cure cancer. We do we do wanna, like, create these amazing drugs. And then, like, they back into... Oh, and it has, like, a, you know, ten percent chance of blowing up the entire world, basically. But I don't know. Someone told me jazz hands a little bit at the top. Right? [00:24:08] S1: Yeah. I mean, [00:24:09] S4: how much do you think [00:24:09] S1: it was, like, worked over? Like, I I I was interested that the the adjective they use at the very top is... He says, we believe that AI is one of the most consequential technologies in human history, which is a very funny neutral adjective. Right? Consequential goes a lot of ways, and it's not necessarily how I would be selling my product. [00:24:26] S4: We should do, like, a real close reading of all the language in this because I do feel like Dario is, like, definitely a micromanaging control control enthusiast, let's say. And and, like, every word probably has a few different nested meanings in there for sure.
00:24:26 · Mike Isaac, Max Read, Jasmine Sun
[00:24:26] S4: We should do, like, a real close reading of all the language in this because I do feel like Dario is, like, definitely a micromanaging control control enthusiast, let's say. And and, like, every word probably has a few different nested meanings in there for sure. [00:24:43] S1: Jasmine, what was your big takeaway from the s one if you had one? [00:24:46] S2: Yeah. I mean, kinda similar to what Mike said. I was just thinking about how Anthropic has a very odd relationship to money and being a for profit company. Like the founders, when they broke off from OpenAI, they spent a bunch of time debating whether they should be a nonprofit or a for profit. Of course, they have invented some crazy multilayered governance structure as they all do, which is something they reinforce a lot in the letter that the founders have pledged 80% of their equity to charity. The employees have all this interesting matching. There's a famous culture fit interview that all of the Anthropic employees go through where they say, hey, would you work here if your equity went to zero? And they make sure that everybody says yes before they accept the job. And so mostly it just made me think about how weird they are about like the status of being a sort of profit seeking corporation. [00:25:33] S1: I know. I can only imagine what the meetings with the bankers were like, [00:25:36] S4: you know. [00:25:36] S1: I mean I mean, I assume the meetings with the investors are very similar.
00:25:36 · Max Read, Mike Isaac, Jasmine Sun, Erin Griffith
[00:25:36] S1: I mean I mean, I assume the meetings with the investors are very similar. [00:25:38] S4: How do you tell a labor union that we're gonna be post money in, three or four years? I think that's a hard sell. [00:25:46] S1: This is coming, by the way, like, in the midst of a little bit of anxiety and, let's call it a jittery moment in the market. The elections are next week, and I really wanna talk to you guys about, what we're looking at and what we're what we're waiting to see. Jasmine, what are you tracking for for for the midterms next week? [00:26:04] S2: Yeah. I mean, these are interesting midterms because I think it's the first election where people's feelings about AI, about data centers could plausibly have shown up. I mean, I think the top level on it is even though we saw a lot of discourse, a lot of anger about data centers in particular that's been building up over the last year, I did some reporting on it over the summer in Wisconsin and Michigan, two states where data centers were actually a really big factor in the primaries. In the majority of states, I don't think they are yet shifting people's votes. They're an extremely... They're an eighty twenty issue in the sense that people feel very negatively about data centers. People feel very negatively about AI. This is bipartisan, and in that sense, it seems like a unicorn, but it's also not something that is quite salient yet. I've looked at, you know, a million polls, and AI usually ranks, like, 22 out of 39 issues. [00:26:51] S3: Oh my god.
00:26:51 · Erin Griffith, Jasmine Sun, Max Read
[00:26:51] S3: Oh my god. [00:26:52] S2: It's like even in states like Ohio or Pennsylvania where data centers are a big issue, I think it's usually something like between one or 5% of voters will list it as their number one thing. And so while we're seeing data centers really impact, like, your mayoral election, like we're seeing recall campaigns, city council reshuffles. I don't think like a big senate race is gonna be determined by data center sentiment. [00:27:14] S1: Right. It's like a muni... I mean, this came across in the reporting you were doing that this is a really a municipal issue, and it's gonna get a lot of town managers voted out and and council board selectmen or whatever else. But it's interesting because this was, at least in the summer, it felt like this was a focus of some senate campaigns. Some senate campaigns were in fact putting a lot of resources into being anti data center. Do you think that was wasted money, or is it is it is it just not the... Ultimately the issue that matters?
00:27:37 · Jasmine Sun
[00:27:37] S2: I mean, I think it really depends. I think there are races where there's... They're close enough and, rural voters in particular. You can get a lot of normal rural Republicans or low turnout voters to maybe turn out if there's a data center in their backyard. I think the races that people are really concerned about, Sherrod Brown in Ohio might stage a comeback in particular because of data centers, or a big motivation for Greg Abbott to restrict approvals and connections to the electricity grid even though he's been very, very pro... Built. He's been welcoming the data centers for years, but because of a potential threat from both his Democratic opponent plus all of these rural Texan farmers who are like, what's up with these power lines and data centers? He actually did a pseudo moratorium, which because he was worried about the midterm. So, you know, I think there are a few elections in purplish states where data centers could swing things. But the other thing I'm tracking is like data centers are very concrete, whereas AI generally is still feels so abstract to people that I'm not really sure if, like, data centers are barely swinging some elections. I'm not sure that, like, AI in general is gonna be a voting issue yet even though some people suspect it.
00:28:46 · Max Read, Mike Isaac
[00:28:46] S1: Yeah. I mean, it's a very funny, you know, as you say, if you're on Twitter or if you're if you're, like, reading too much about this, it does feel like a life or death issue. Certainly, is for some people some people writing, you know, introductory letters to s ones. But it hasn't... As you say, it hasn't really trickled down except in a sort of indirect way through the the effect on the economy of AI. Yeah. Mike, what about you? Are you tracking anything on the election next week? [00:29:09] S4: You talked about this in last week's episode a little bit with the head of policy at Meta leaving and sort of imagining which new regime of, like, you know, democratic operatives they might replace them with. But I just wanna see if there's a wipe away. No. Of course. I am a loyal Hard Fork listener. [00:29:26] S1: That's right. [00:29:27] S4: That's [00:29:27] S1: why [00:29:27] S4: we're in. We've got [00:29:28] S1: one. You've got one. Get to two by the end of [00:29:31] S4: next week. Two. I'll I'll get my wife to listen. I do... I do... I really, really wanna see the theater of all the tech companies that have been trying to cater to Republicans suddenly be like, actually, we love the new democratic... Potentially democratic regime in all of these states. And because they have a hold on... Again, potentially have a hold on congress, this is what we really believe in. You know? [00:29:56] S1: And I