00:40:23 · Nate Silver, Tracy Alloway, Joe Weisenthal
[00:40:23] S1: Right. [00:40:24] S0: And like after years and years and years of being accused of, I guess, overestimating Democrats in the polls, everyone now is self-correcting. And so the question is, like, how big is that self-correction? [00:40:37] S3: Yeah. And it's interesting. And I guess we didn't go into the math specifically. But if you can empirically establish that your self-correction here makes no sense. [00:40:47] S1: Yeah. [00:40:47] S3: Then what you do learn is, as Nate said, pollsters are self-interested players. Because who is it? What was the famous pollster in Iowa? Selzer, Ann Selzer, who actually, you know, right before the 2024 election actually had Kamala Harris winning Iowa. Yeah. [00:41:04] S0: No one wants to poll a Selzer, right? [00:41:06] S3: It was so off that she retired from the game. And that's kind of, I guess, what Nate was saying, too, which is that if Republicans win the House, it's like, you know what, I think we're done. I think we're done trying to go into sports. These crazy American voters. We're done trying to understand anything about them because we have nothing. We have no usable information on them. Go ask your digital twin. [00:41:27] S1: All right. [00:41:27] S0: Shall we leave it there? [00:41:28] S1: Yeah, let's leave it there. [00:41:29] S0: This has been another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway.
00:41:29 · Tracy Alloway, Joe Weisenthal, Nate Silver
[00:41:29] S0: This has been another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway. [00:41:35] S3: And I'm Joe Weisenthal. You can follow me at The Stalwart. Follow our guest, Nate Silver. He's at natesilver538. Follow our producers, Carmen Rodriguez at Carmen Arman, Dashiell Bennett at Dashbot, Kale Brooks at Kale Brooks, and Kevin Lozano at Kevin Lloyd Lozano. And of course, you can chat about all of these topics 24-7 in our Discord, discord.gg slash allthoughts. And for more OddLots content, you can check out our daily newsletter, which you can find at Bloomberg.com slash OddLots. [00:42:03] S0: And if you enjoyed this conversation, if you like it when we do our Election Day specials, then please leave us a positive review on your favorite podcast platform. And if you're watching on video, then please leave a comment or like or better yet, subscribe. [00:42:17] S3: And remember, if you're an OddLots subscriber, you can listen to all of our episodes absolutely ad-free. All you need to do is find the Bloomberg channel on Apple Podcasts and follow the instructions there. [00:42:27] S0: Thanks for joining. [00:42:28] S1: So